The Hungarian Economic Research Co. GKI has revised its growth forecast for 2022, it raised its GDP forecast to 3.5-4% from the previous 2.5-3%y, and lowered its GDP forecast for 2023 to between 2.5-3% from 3.5-4%. The change is a consequence of faster-than-expected growth in the first quarter and stronger-than-expected austerity measures and inflation rate, […]
The Hungarian economic research institute GKI currently expects the Hungarian economy to decline by 5-7 per cent in 2020 (assuming no second wave of the pandemic this year). In March, shortly after the announcement of the coronavirus emergency, GKI forecast two scenarios: one with a 3% and another with a 7% decline in GDP this […]
At its meeting on June 23, 2020, the Monetary Council of the National Bank of Hungary (MNB) reviewed the latest economic and financial developments and lowered the central bank prime interest rate by 15 basis points to 0.75% with effect from June 24, 2020. In a press release, MNB says that its mandate in the […]
In July, the GKI real estate indices for Budapest and Hungary stood at 1 and 0 points respectively. Both figures dropped slightly by one point, compared to the previous survey. Both indices went up 2 points, compared to the survey made one year earlier.
GKI's economic sentiment index and the business confidence index have never been as high as now so far during its more than twenty years of history. The empirical survey was conducted by GKI with the support of the EU.
According to the forecast of GKI Economic Research Co., the slowdown of the Hungarian economy that started in the second quarter of 2015 will continue. The 3.6% growth rate in first-quarter was followed by only 2.7% in the second quarter.
The GKI-Erste economic sentiment index, which has been rising spectacularly for 18 months according to seasonally-adjusted figures in Hungary, has gone up in April and expectations reached their highest in more than 15 years.
In September, the improvement of the GKI economic sentiment index adjusted for seasonal effects came to a halt after its significant and nearly continuous rise that had started last May. Both business and consumer expectations decreased slightly.
